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Prada loses $864m in value as China slump hits profit

PRADA SpA shares fell to the lowest close since 2016 as slower Chinese spending contributed to an unexpected drop in the Italian fashion house’s annual profit.
The Hong Kong-listed luxury group attributed a slump in Asia mostly to Chinese tourists reining in spending in Hong Kong and Macau because of the weakness in the yuan.
Other luxury brands, including Kering SA’s Gucci, have seen the impact of softer buying by Chinese tourists offset by increased spending on the mainland, but Prada failed to get a similar boost from Chinese spending at home, said Citigroup analysts led by Thomas Chauvet.
Prada’s China sales were flat for the year, a “significant swing” after a first-half gain of 17 percent, Citigroup said. Monday’s stock plunge after the disappointing earnings shaved $864 million off the company’s market value.
Chinese consumers have turned more cautious amid the slowest economic expansion in almost three decades and a trade war with the US. While cars and iPhones have seen bigger slumps so far, Prada’s results could spark worry that China’s newly wealthy middle class is scaling back on high-end purchases. For an industry that relies on Chinese demand for 30 percent of $1 trillion in global luxury spending, that’s a chilling prospect.
Kering shares, which have bounced back since jitters over the state of the Chinese consumer emerged last autumn, were up 0,6 percent early Monday in Paris. Louis Vuitton owner LVMH was down 0,3 percent.
Prada’s operating profit declined 10 percent to 323,8 million euros ($366 million), falling short of the 378 million euros predicted by analysts. The shares slumped 11 percent in Hong Kong on Monday, the biggest one-day drop since September 2017. The stock has lost 38 percent over the past year.
CMB International Securities analyst Walter Woo said the profit miss was surprising, even after the firm downgraded its forecast recently on weaker China sales.
“We haven’t seen significant recovery in its China sales during the first two months this year after a weak fourth quarter in 2018,” Woo said. “We still expect the business improvement for Prada will be slower than peers in 2019, as it takes time for the brand to upgrade its product design and retail operations in the country.” – Bloomberg